刘虹,沈天行,顾冰,王翠萍
Liu Hong 1,2 Shen Tianxing 1 Gu Bing 2 Wang Chuiping 2(1^ School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjing 300072; 2^ China Green Lights Project PMO, Beijing 100053)

• 1:天津大学建筑学院
• 2:天津大学建筑学院
• 3:中国绿色照明工程促进项目办公室
• 4:中国绿色照明工程促进项目办公室 天津300072 中国绿色照明工程促进项目办公室

摘要(Abstract)：

本文运用技术创新理论及市场模型理论的研究方法,通过计算机模拟,对LED普通照明技术的发展和产品市场渗透过程进行了系统分析,得出了LED照明技术发展对未来我国普通照明市场的影响力大小,并对其可能带来的照明节电效果进行了定量的预测。
In this paper, by applying technical impovation and market modeling theory and establishing a national simulating model, we dnalyse LED lighting technical development and its market penetration process.Thus,we could forecast the impact of LED on China's general lighting sector,and estimate its relevant electricity saving of lighting in next decade.

关键词(KeyWords)： LED;普通照明;照明节电;预测
LED; general lighting; electricity saving; forecast

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation):

作者(Authors): 刘虹,沈天行,顾冰,王翠萍
Liu Hong 1,2 Shen Tianxing 1 Gu Bing 2 Wang Chuiping 2(1^ School of Architecture, Tianjin University, Tianjing 300072; 2^ China Green Lights Project PMO, Beijing 100053)

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